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EIA Publishes Regional Electricity Supply and Pricing Forecasts Using UPLAN Model

LCG, August 13, 2019--The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) announced that it is revising the presentation and modeling of its forecasts for electricity supply and market hub pricing to better reflect current electricity markets and system operations in the U.S. Beginning with the August 2019 Short-Term Energy Outlook (STEO), the new forecasting approach models electricity markets using the UPLAN production cost optimization software developed by LCG Consulting. EIA uses the solution results provided by this proprietary model to develop the STEO forecasts of monthly electricity generation, fuel consumption, and wholesale prices.

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Dominion Energy Virginia Pursues 500 MW of Renewable Projects

LCG, August 8, 2019--Dominion Energy Virginia announced Monday that it is seeking bids for up to 500 MW of renewable capacity in both 2021 and 2022 to increase its clean energy resources. Dominion Energy stated that it is committed to having 3,000 MW of solar and wind in operation or under development in Virginia by 2022. This near-term step is part of an ultimate company commitment to reduce carbon emissions by 80 percent by 2050 across the 18 states it serves.

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Industry News

PJM Capacity Rules Drive Mon Power to Evaluate Options for Bath County Pumped Storage Project

LCG, November 16, 2016--FirstEnergy Corp. subsidiary Mon Power Friday announced that it has initiated a review of its ownership stake in the Bath County Pumped Storage Project located in Warm Springs, Virginia. Mon Power's review is driven by recent changes in the PJM capacity market that are expected to reduce sharply its capacity revenues from the facility.

Mon Power has an indirect ownership interest in the pumped storage hydroelectric generating facility that includes a higher and lower reservoir and a powerhouse interconnected by tunnels. The powerhouse includes six pump-turbines that (i) generate power when water flows from the higher to the lower reservoir (and hourly power prices are relatively high) and (ii) consume power to pump water from the lower to upper reservoir (when power prices are relatively low, e.g., at night). Dominion Resources, Inc. subsidiary Virginia Electric and Power Company is the majority owner and operator of the facility, which has a total generating capacity of approximately 3,000 MW.

The new capacity rule for PJM, the regional transmission operator, is expected to reduce the value of pumped storage generation stations because they cannot produce electricity continuously during all hours of the day. Mon Power estimates that, under the new rules, its capacity revenues from Bath County will be roughly cut in half.

First Energy Corp. sold a number of hydro facilities in 2014, when it completed the sale of 11 other hydroelectric power stations to Harbor Hydro Holdings, LLC, a subsidiary of LS Power Equity Partners II, LP. The total capacity of those hydroelectric facilities was 527 MW, including the Seneca Pumped Storage Hydro Plant (451 MW), located in northwestern Pennsylvania.
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