EIA Publishes Regional Electricity Supply and Pricing Forecasts Using UPLAN Model

LCG, August 13, 2019--The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) announced that it is revising the presentation and modeling of its forecasts for electricity supply and market hub pricing to better reflect current electricity markets and system operations in the U.S. Beginning with the August 2019 Short-Term Energy Outlook (STEO), the new forecasting approach models electricity markets using the UPLAN production cost optimization software developed by LCG Consulting. EIA uses the solution results provided by this proprietary model to develop the STEO forecasts of monthly electricity generation, fuel consumption, and wholesale prices.

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Dominion Energy Virginia Pursues 500 MW of Renewable Projects

LCG, August 8, 2019--Dominion Energy Virginia announced Monday that it is seeking bids for up to 500 MW of renewable capacity in both 2021 and 2022 to increase its clean energy resources. Dominion Energy stated that it is committed to having 3,000 MW of solar and wind in operation or under development in Virginia by 2022. This near-term step is part of an ultimate company commitment to reduce carbon emissions by 80 percent by 2050 across the 18 states it serves.

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Industry News

Enron India Not Planning to Sell Dabhol 'Right Now'

LCG, May 2, 2001U.S. energy giant Enron Corp., mired in financial disputes with the federal government of India, the government of the Indian state of Maharashtra, and the Maharashtra State Electricity Board, has no immediate plans to sell its interest in the Dabhol Power Project, the company's chairman said yesterday.

"We're not in any discussion right now on selling the plant," Enron Chairman Kenneth Lay told reporters after the company's annual meeting. Enron and financial institutions that provided backing for the Dabhol project met in London last month to discuss courses of action open to them following attempts by India, Maharashtra and the MSEB to unilaterally modify agreements reached in the mid-1990s.

"The lenders have sent the government of India a letter indicating the various things both the government of Maharashtra and the government of India need to do to come back into compliance with the contract," Lay said.

Under agreements reached in 1993 and 1995, the MSEB is to purchase all the power from a 740 megawatt first phase and a 1,444 megawatt second phase of the Dabhol project. The first phase has been producing power since last summer and Enron has been forced to invoke guarantees by Maharashtra state and the federal government of India to be paid for each month's bill.

The MSEB is currently $48 million behind on its electric bill and last month adopted a creative new strategy to meet its obligation. The state-run utility fined Enron something like $200 million for alleged failures to perform and then instructed the U.S. company to simply deduct the electric bill from the fine.

The 1,444 megawatt second phase of Dabhol is schedule for completion later this year, and now the MSEB says the power in not needed. Lay said the second phase could be delayed if the MSEB doesn't pay its electric bill. "The construction activity is being scaled down, so it is impacting operations, but its still not too late to stop any damage from that if the governments step up and honor the contracts," he said.

The Dabhol project represents the largest foreign investment in India, and India has made no secret of its desire to attract foreign money to assist in development of its infrastructure. But four U.S. power firms have pulled out of Indian projects already and failure of the Dabhol project would be a sever setback for the subcontinent in its efforts to finally take part in the industrial revolution.

"It sends a very bad signal to the rest of the world as to the difficulties of investing in India, which isnot what India needs right now," Lay said.

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